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India’s Electricity Demand to Reach 273 GW in 2025 – Can the Grid Cope?
Mar 21, 2025
India's electricity demand is projected to peak at 273 GW in June 2025, according to the Short-Term National Resource Adequacy Plan (ST-NRAP) released by the National Load Despatch Centre (NLDC). The study, prepared under the Electricity (Amendment) Rules, 2023, evaluates the generation adequacy and grid stability needed to meet fluctuating energy requirements throughout the year.
Key Findings:
- Peak demand: 273 GW in June 2025 (driven by summer cooling demand).
- Lowest demand: ~135 GW in December-January (reduced cooling requirements).
- Severe energy shortages: Expected between April and October 2025, with the highest risk in May and June.
- Winter shortages: Likely in morning and evening hours due to low solar generation and high household/commercial usage.
Grid Reliability Metrics:
- Loss of Load Probability (LOLP):
- 12.1% (median scenario)
- 5.8% (best case scenario)
- Normalized Energy Not Served (NENS):
- 0.37% (median scenario)
- 0.17% (best case scenario)
While India's energy infrastructure has expanded significantly, these figures indicate persistent supply-demand imbalances. To mitigate risks, policymakers and power utilities must focus on grid modernization, enhanced storage capacity, demand-side management, and renewable energy integration to ensure grid stability during peak periods.